modelspread

Local weather forecast ranges and accuracy

See the official NWS forecast, likely weather ranges, and past forecast error for your area.

Get your local forecast

Enter a U.S. ZIP code to see the forecast and its likely range.

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What the forecast page shows

The official forecast

The National Weather Service forecast for your location.

A likely range

Likely temperature and precipitation ranges based on past forecast errors.

Past forecast error

Past forecast error by month and by the number of days ahead.

Forecast accuracy by city

View past temperature forecast error on the U.S. map or choose a city.

View the U.S. accuracy mapBrowse every cityRead the U.S. report

Data sources: National Weather Service forecasts, National Blend of Models guidance, ensemble models, and two years of forecast verification.

See how the ranges are calculated

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